Business Cycle Basics

Business Cycle Basics

How to Tie Together the Business Cycle and Asset Allocation In a previous article, we explored a basic way of finding the optimal portfolio composition, given certain constraints and certain assets. In this article, we shall explore a simple way to understand which group of assets might be better suited to enter into the optimization process. We will do this asset selection process based on our beliefs of the current state of the business cycle. (more…)...
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The Week Ahead: Focus New Zealand 2017Q4

The Week Ahead: Focus New Zealand 2017Q4

Wall Street climbed on Friday, as a surge in the tech sector and a rally in Amazon shares helped push the Nasdaq to its best day in nearly a year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 31.92 points, or 0.14 percent, to 23,432.78, the S&P 500 gained 20.66 points, or 0.81 percent, to 2,581.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 144.49 points, or 2.2 percent, to 6,701.26. Last week Saudi Arabia and Russia declared their support for extending a global deal to cut oil supplies for another nine months. Reuters reported on Oct. 18, citing OPEC sources, that producers were leaning towards a nine month extension of existing production agreements. Discussions are continuing in the run-up to the Nov. 30 meeting, which oil ministers from OPEC and the participating non-OPEC countries will attend. The deal has supported the oil price, which on Friday reached $59.91 a barrel, the highest level since July 2015, but a backlog of stored oil has yet to be run...
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The Week Ahead: 10/22/2017

Get the Order Flow News & Data that you need for profitable decision making in the week ahead. Weekend Headlines Spain urges Catalonia secessionists to obey Madrid BARCELONA (Reuters) - The Spanish government has urged Catalonians to accept direct control from Madrid and ignore instructions from the restive region’s secessionist leadership once it has been removed from power. ( more ) Saudi Arabia says oil market improving as exporters fully comply BAGHDAD (Reuters) - The global oil market is improving and stabilizing as oil exporting nations are fully complying with an agreement to curb supply in order to lift crude prices, Saudi Oil Minister Khalid al-Falih said in Baghdad on Saturday. ( more ) Senate Passes Budget, Unlocking Vehicle for Tax Reform WASHINGTON (RCP) Senate Republicans passed a budget resolution Thursday evening, clearing a significant hurdle and setting up the process to consider tax legislation later this year. ( more ) Order Board Brokers: 96.54 BOT: 22.40 Predators :0 0.0 receivables Finance Definition Stick - One Million Dollars The Ultimate Trader...
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The Week Ahead:

Weekend headlines of importance: [Politics] [Moniez] [atcual news] Scheduled events in the week ahead: SunOct 15 9:00am USD Fed Chair Yellen Speaks Day 3 All IMF Meetings MonOct 16  8:30am USD Empire State Manufacturing Index 20.3 24.4 Tentative USD Federal Budget Balance -1.0B -107.7B TueOct 17 8:30am USD Import Prices m/m 0.6% 0.6% 9:15am USD Capacity Utilization Rate 76.2% 76.1% USD Industrial Production m/m 0.4% -0.9% 10:00am USD NAHB Housing Market Index 64 64 1:00pm USD FOMC Member Harker Speaks 4:00pm USD TIC Long-Term Purchases 14.3B 1.3B WedOct 18 8:00am USD FOMC Member Dudley Speaks USD FOMC Member Kaplan Speaks 8:30am USD Building Permits 1.25M 1.27M USD Housing Starts 1.18M 1.18M 10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.7M 2:00pm USD Beige Book ThuOct 19 8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 245K 243K USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 22.2 23.8 10:00am USD CB Leading Index m/m 0.2% 0.4% 10:30am USD Natural Gas Storage 87B FriOct 20 10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 5.32M 5.35M 7:30pm USD Fed Chair Yellen Speaks SatOct 21 22 Todays “Definitions in finance” word is: Words and lessons Sales pitch close <a href=”https://x.dsgoldsmith.com/”>Submit button</a> P.S.:\\I=<3...
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Order Flow Trading Strategy Development

Order Flow Trading Strategy Development

Are you still trying to develop a profitable trading system? In todays article you'll learn the steps for developing an order flow trading strategy. Broadly speaking, order flow strategy development is a 3 step process: Develop an order flow trader mindset Define your core strategies Note various market inefficiencies and identify which one suit into your strategies (more…)...
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The Week Ahead: Inflation Data, FOMC Minutes, and an IMF Meeting

The Week Ahead: Inflation Data, FOMC Minutes, and an IMF Meeting

Many US Banks will be closed Monday in observance of the Columbus Day holiday, but the week ahead will still see a raft of important events in the form of US CPI, PPI, and the release of minutes from the September 19-20 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. Traders can also expect a calendar full of bank earnings, FOMC member speeches, and an IMF meeting due to kick off on Friday. All told it promises to be an exciting week and this report will give you the Order Flow News & Data you need to know for profitable decision making in the week ahead. (more…)...
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The Art of Order Flow Trading

The Art of Order Flow Trading

Wondering what the Art of Order Flow Trading is or how it works? In this article one of our many successful students will share his journey to profitability using the art of order flow trading. Hi there! My name is Milan and after I read the Order Flow Mindset lessons about 10 times and made a ton of notes, I saw it as my task to find as many order flow strategies as I could find. Initially I was all crazy about finding the next best strategy, like in my old days of technical analysis trading. The last chapter in the book promised me there are a lot of inefficiencies in the market that can be exploited and I felt like going nuts because I could not find them. Then I focused on the core strategies presented in the lessons and for me, it was all about the order and stop information. Initially I interpreted many moves as stop hunts and was...
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The Week Ahead: Welcome to Q4

The Week Ahead: Welcome to Q4

So far it’s been a great year for global equity markets with the benchmark S&P 500 up 6.7%, despite a 6.92% decline in the US Dollar. However, events are unfolding that could materially change this dynamic as we move into the all important year end holiday shopping season. This report will give you the Order Flow News & Data you need to know for profitable decision making in the week ahead. (more…)...
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How to Create a Portfolio in Excel

How to Create a Portfolio in Excel

Spreadsheet basics for efficient portfolio construction In the previous article, we introduced the concept of portfolio trading as a way to diversify your funds away from the day to day noise and stress of active trading. We also covered the basics on how to formulate your objectives and your initial asset allocation. In this article, we will take the discussion a step further and illustrate how to create an efficient portfolio using Microsoft Excel or OpenOffice. DSG and Efficacy have both created and shared examples on the Order Flow Trading Academy Members Forum. This article is for those (like me) that are less acquainted with matrix algebra and want to see a step-by-step process in writing. (more…)...
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